Thursday, January 11, 2007
Why "The Way Forward" Won't Work.
I'm certainly no policy wonk nor an insightful insider, just your average, politically curious, angry American. I don't have any 'inside' information or a certain, secret source. I do have every faculty necessary to understand the simple human dynamics involved in the ludicrous "new plan for Iraq" as outlined (does he do more than outline, ever?) by the chimp-in-charge. Most apparent is that it has a snowball's chance in hell of doing anything more than escalating the American death toll in Iraq more quickly than ever before, and that it is another futile attempt to 'win' a war that is already lost. Secondly, this escalation is all about chimpy's megalomania or what Keith Olbermann calls "messianic certitude" and how no one is going to tell him what to do, least of all 'spineless democrats', those 'traitor' friends of Pappy Bush' or those 'whiny Generals', after all, he's "The Decider," and don't none of y'all forgit it.
Beyond all the usual objections to the "way forward" I listened to all day in the news, and the stunning statements by prominent republicans, the basic truth is that regardless of whether Maliki gets his political shit together or not, whether he shows up in the short-term by reining in the militias or not, whether American soldiers start crackin' heads on Shi'ite death squads or not, American Soldiers Will Leave Iraq. Sooner or later, next month or next year, but we will leave. Maliki knows this. Sadr knows this. Even the thick-skulled fucktard in the White House knows this.
Maliki knows what side his bread is buttered on-- the Moqtada al-Sadr side. Shi'a ARE the majority. Moqtada al-Sadr runs the Medhi Army which is the most powerful Iraqi militia, and Iraq is engaged in a civil war, whether chimpy la-la-la's about it or not. If, as new secretary of defense Robert Gates says, the political favors will end and arrested Shi'a will no longer be released, American soldiers will stop looking the other way when Sunni insurgents are arrested or worse and if American soldiers embedded in Iraqi units go into Sadr City to arrest, kill or look cross-eyed at the Shiite inhabitant/followers of Moqtada al-Sadr, guess who's going to end up dead in a ditch? Bush' new way of saying "stay the course" will accelerate the death toll at a higher rate than ever before. Both sides will turn against us. As a side note, I know I'm not the only person to notice in Condyloma* Rice's comment today that she said the same thing about Maliki and "breathing room" as Hitler said about Germany in Mein Kampf. My doctor-husband made an interesting comment today; he said the main problem with Bush is that he never doubts himself. He spoke this to a colleague at the hospital who responded, "A doctor who doesn't question himself kills people."
The only way forward in Iraq is straight out of Iraq.
Keith Olbermann had a great special comment on this tonight, my bet is that Crooks and Liars will post it soon. What'd I tell you, here it is.
The subtext of all of this is of course, is launching a new war on Iran, possibly Syria. Somebody better put the brakes on the crazyman soon. Think Progress has some good stuff on this current situation.
The NYT Anthony Cordesman has a great interactive analysis of the boy-king's speech.
*Do Condy's parents know they named her after an anal wart? Inquiring minds want to know...